Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 45.625179 52.763119 60.138871 68.292564 77.018200 86.043384 96.051857
2026-02-01 34.357585 44.340014 55.227360 67.825219 81.855602 96.873130 114.039500
2026-02-08 27.845183 39.252669 52.223478 67.732386 85.477464 104.893900 127.506967
2026-02-15 22.525764 34.706798 49.128273 66.896314 87.710754 110.911007 138.345251
2026-02-22 19.247750 32.134146 47.937252 67.895396 91.716487 118.648753 150.862172
2026-03-01 16.720177 30.163556 47.200932 69.197868 95.878797 126.407686 163.268797
2026-03-08 13.701458 27.153068 44.869853 68.313768 97.248521 130.776528 171.655659
2026-03-15 10.926389 24.105047 42.209571 66.786389 97.652760 133.863090 178.428370
2026-03-22 10.096947 23.800623 43.105311 69.695996 103.416231 143.241215 192.502525
2026-03-29 8.931948 22.824487 42.985364 71.221329 107.417333 150.484087 204.048701
2026-04-05 7.302020 20.867441 41.348406 70.647986 108.715989 154.422197 211.648320
2026-04-12 5.914604 19.092775 39.824326 70.111197 109.973915 158.245902 219.059730
2026-04-19 4.913999 17.863135 39.027071 70.524899 112.445971 163.579962 228.334653
2026-04-26 3.833207 16.258411 37.541541 69.911311 113.542802 167.197150 235.535542
2026-05-03 3.022769 15.015335 36.505238 69.841918 115.285262 171.565402 243.605336
2026-05-10 2.218051 13.542402 34.976065 68.987115 115.935344 174.533699 249.947117
2026-05-17 1.806907 12.917486 34.779585 70.003974 119.030287 180.532360 259.958109
2026-05-24 1.491228 12.453528 34.812406 71.328236 122.519014 187.016788 270.559533
2026-05-31 0.993241 11.201031 33.379705 70.429292 122.982072 189.662806 276.445335
2026-06-07 0.562732 9.815964 31.570641 68.876009 122.495034 191.059483 280.760035
2026-06-14 0.525530 10.038311 32.734150 71.834728 128.163437 200.289451 294.733824
2026-06-21 0.405596 9.789948 32.985478 73.385437 131.898342 207.053929 305.668473
2026-06-28 0.210240 8.875513 31.882486 72.802585 132.669281 210.009969 311.880353